HIV Prevalence

Number of people living with HIV infection.

Quick Reference

Unit

people

Category

Health

Metric Code

hiv_prevalence

How It's Calculated

Estimated number of people of all ages living with HIV, based on surveillance data, population-based surveys, antenatal clinic sentinel surveillance, and UNAIDS Spectrum modeling. Includes diagnosed and undiagnosed cases. Often expressed as prevalence rate (percentage of population ages 15-49).

Why It Matters

HIV/AIDS has killed over 40 million people since the epidemic began. While antiretroviral therapy (ART) has transformed HIV into a manageable chronic condition in high-income countries, it remains a leading cause of death in sub-Saharan Africa. HIV prevalence guides resource allocation for testing, treatment, and prevention programs. It is SDG Indicator 3.3.1.

Understanding the Values

Very Low: < 0.1% prevalence (minimal burden - most high-income countries) Low: 0.1-1% prevalence (low burden - targeted interventions needed) Moderate: 1-5% prevalence (concentrated epidemic - key populations affected) High: 5-15% prevalence (generalized epidemic - affecting general population) Very High: > 15% prevalence (severe epidemic - Southern Africa: Eswatini 27%, Lesotho 23%) Global total: ~39 million people living with HIV (2022) New infections: ~1.3 million/year (down from 3 million in 1997) SDG Target 3.3: End AIDS epidemic by 2030

Related Metrics

Data Quality & Coverage

Coverage: 170 countries with estimates Update frequency: Annual Source: UN Data / UNAIDS Limitations: Estimates rely on models, not direct counts, with wide uncertainty intervals. Stigma leads to underreporting. "Prevalence" measures total living with HIV, not new infections (incidence). Does not capture treatment coverage (% on ART) or viral suppression (% undetectable). Varies greatly by age, sex, and key populations (sex workers, MSM, PWID).

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